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The eyes of the worldwide world are as soon as once more turning to South Africa after Russian President Vladimir Putin has been given diplomatic immunity to attend the upcoming BRICS summit. BizNews talks to Prague-based analyst and host of The Geopolitical Pickle podcast, Ronan Wordsworth, in regards to the logistics and implications of such a go to: an advance occasion of Russian safety brokers to maintain the paranoid Putin protected from assassination – and possibly even a physique double or two. Wordsworth says South Africa is sending a robust message to the West, however warns that Russia could not have a lot to supply South Africa in return for its help. He additionally speaks in regards to the return to Chilly Warfare dynamics on the Continent – and tots up what Russia, China and the US are bringing to the desk.
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South Africa is sending a “robust” message to the West by giving Russian President Vladimir Putin diplomatic immunity to attend the upcoming BRICS Heads of State Summit.
So says Ronan Wordsworth, an analyst and the host of “The Geopolitical Pickle” podcast based mostly in Prague within the Czech Republic.
Diplomatic immunity will assist South Africa bypass a authorized obligation to arrest Putin in compliance with an Worldwide Prison Court docket (ICC) warrant for crimes dedicated within the Ukraine.
Learn extra: SA granting diplomatic immunity to BRICS attendees – Nonetheless legally obliged to arrest Putin
Says Wordsworth: “…now they’ve lastly found out a means that they will strategy it whereas nonetheless being a signatory of the ICC…”
Wordsworth notes that the African Nationwide Congress (ANC) is now transferring past its publicly said stance of neutrality on the battle between Russia and the Ukraine.
“…I feel it does present that the ANC have form of … though they declare some type of neutrality with the battle, they’re really undoubtedly making a marked shift in direction of having palatable relations with Russia, entertaining the president; (this) clearly sends that sign to the West.”
Learn extra: SA faces menace of sanctions over Russia-Ukraine stance: Penalties might show catastrophic Reserve Financial institution warns
Nonetheless, he warns that Russia could not have a lot to supply South Africa in return for its help.
“I feel, as we’ve been saying, the ANC has been transferring extra in direction of Russia, however I actually don’t suppose Russia has that a lot to supply South Africa. So general, possibly it’s a posturing factor, however they will’t really essentially supply any tangible advantages for his or her help.”
On Putin’s potential vulnerability to assassination in South Africa, Wordsworth says: “I feel that might at all times be a threat, however the safety precautions that will likely be put in place round his go to will likely be immense.
“The ANC are not looking for the assassination of a international president on South African soil as a result of that doesn’t actually set a very good search for the nation’s safety state of affairs. There will likely be, I’m positive, plenty of Russian safety brokers coming to South Africa within the lead-up to ensure that the safety state of affairs is okay for him to go to earlier than any such go to would even happen.”
Requested about rumours that Putin usually sends “physique doubles” to summits and worldwide conferences, Wordsworth says: “I feel it undoubtedly is true. I feel he’s fairly a paranoid chief…
And I imply, it’s comprehensible. Not solely is plenty of the world in opposition to what’s taking place. However I imply, I’m positive there’s plenty of inside points inside Russia and lots of people inside Russia that wouldn’t need him to be nonetheless there. We’ve bought plenty of oligarchs dropping some huge cash due to the battle.”
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