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Good morning, Slopers and Slopettes, Let’s check out some up to date each day index charts, we could?
We start with the Index. The “face-off” continues to be unresolved, however the bulls nonetheless have the higher hoof. The green-tinted space is the bullish base, and even throughout final week’s modest sell-off, we didn’t pierce this zone.
To ensure that the bears to have a prayer, costs have to sink again into that inexperienced worth zone.
The has been exceptionally robust all 12 months lengthy, though it has climbed moderately near a serious Fibonacci resistance degree.
What’s fascinating about this degree (the pink horizontal line) is that it additionally virtually completely coincidences with a serious worth hole from April 2022.
The Industrials is value an in depth look. Check out the chart under, and also you’ll see two broad phases. The primary is, after all, the sell-off that lasted all through most of 2022, terminating dramatically on October thirteenth (the low of this chart). At that time, an explosive rally occurred. What’s fascinating is 2 issues: (a) the Dow has spent months doing nothing however digesting the features of that rally; there’s been zero follow-through (b) if the costs weaken considerably sufficient, the Dow will snap its ascending trendline, thus terminating this counter-trend rally. Suffice it to say that the Dow’s glory days have been measured in weeks, and there’s been a complete lack of that momentum.
Naturally, nevertheless, with all of the energy in 2023, volatility has been shriveling all the way down to ranges which can be comedian, at instances even breaking beneath the teenagers. We’re hammered down at 13 proper now, and this complacency will hopefully get a strong slap throughout the very fact as we enter the second half of the 12 months.
Lastly, though it isn’t as frequent an index to debate within the mass media, the Dealer/Supplier index is in a captivating setup. That is an exceptionally well-formed head and shoulders high, and its worth vary fantastically matches the rounded high which occurred earlier than. is an emblem value watching.
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