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If Donald Trump returns to the White Home for an additional stint of President of the US, he might need to renegotiate the African Progress and Alternative Act (AGOA). And people might be robust negotiations as a result of Trump would need his pound of flesh. So says Dr Edward Mienie, the Govt Director of the Strategic Research Programme & Partnerships and Professor of Strategic & Safety Research on the College of North Georgia in Atlanta. Dr Mienie, a former diplomat for each the Nationwide Occasion (NP) and the African Nationwide Congress (ANC) governments, speaks to BizNews as hypothesis mounts internationally that Trump may pull of one other “unthinkable” political victory that will result in important shifts in US international coverage. He says Trump is by far the preferred of the contenders of the Republican Occasion, and that Democratic Occasion President Joe Biden is lagging behind. “If he (Trump) wins all of those court docket circumstances, or in the event that they fall by the wayside, I’m predicting that it’s very seemingly that he’ll transfer into the White Home. And it’ll be fairly a narrative…” – Chris Steyn
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Related timestamps from the interview
00:00 Introductions
00:33 – How seemingly is it for trump to return to the White Home
05:38 – Trump received’t be to involved about South Africa’s issues
07:45 – Trump received’t have as a lot tolerance as Biden
08:41 – How will America’s international coverage in the direction of SA change
11:13 – Conclusions
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Highlights from the interview
If Donald Trump returns to the White Home for an additional stint of President of the USA of America, he might need to renegotiate the African Progress and Alternative Act (AGOA).
And people might be robust negotiations as a result of Trump would need his kilos of flesh from South Africa.
These are the predictions from Dr Edward Mienie, the Govt Director of the Strategic Research Program & Partnerships and Professor of Strategic & Safety Research on the College of North Georgia in Atlanta within the US.
Dr Mienie, a former diplomat for each the Nationwide Occasion (NP) and the African Nationwide Congress (ANC) governments, speaks to BizNews as hypothesis mounts internationally that Trump may pull of one other “unthinkable” political victory that will result in important shifts in US international coverage.
Talking about how this might affect South Africa, Dr Mienie says: “…he embraces the America First coverage and he has a extra protectionist stance.
“And truly, you realize, this might affect the African Progress and Alternative Act. He likes to renegotiate commerce agreements. He might renegotiate the AGOA Act…”
Dr Mienie factors out that Trump is a “fairly exhausting negotiator”.
“if I can put it this fashion, he calls for his pound of flesh in these negotiations underneath the umbrella of America First. We are able to look ahead to some robust negotiations…commerce which we desperately want. South Africa desperately wants international direct funding, good commerce, sturdy commerce relations with the stronger economies on this planet to assist South Africa.”
As for Trump’s seemingly total international coverage on South Africa, Dr Mienie says: “I foresee that he’ll have interaction South Africa in some form or kind. However what that’s going to seem like goes to rely on our actions inside the BRICS contexts…”
Dr Mienie means that the absolute best consequence underneath a Trump presidency for South Africa would contain the nation being extra considerate in its personal international insurance policies. “And I’m hopeful that inside the geopolitical context South Africa will make smart choices in terms of their assist of the Ukraine conflict or in any other case. I perceive that South Africa embraces a impartial stance, however I’m not seeing that they’re impartial in any respect. They’re truly selecting a aspect. So we should always consider, you realize, our values, our worth system as people inside South Africa are extra aligned with the West, I might say. And we should always give very deep considered which path we’re going.”
As for Trump’s probabilities of truly working America once more, Dr Mienie says: “…he’s an actual contender inside the Republican Occasion. He’s by far the preferred of the contenders.”
Dr Mienie notes that it’s a “unusual phenomenon”.
“He has 4 indictments towards him. And it’s virtually as if each time a brand new indictment comes his method, he will get much more standard inside the Republican Occasion. So he’s very targeted on turning into the following President of the USA…So relying on the end result of those court docket circumstances, it is going to affect the election a method or one other.
“For now, Trump has received a stable following – and he’s method forward of his contenders. (Democratic Occasion President Joe) Biden, as a matter of truth, in a latest CBS ballot, is behind Trump, is lagging behind.
“So how seemingly is Trump to return to the White Home? The way in which issues stand immediately, he’s the preferred Republican. If he wins all of those court docket circumstances, or in the event that they fall by the wayside, I’m predicting that it’s very seemingly that he’ll transfer into the White Home. And it’ll be fairly a narrative for someone who has gone by way of a lot to return to the White Home.”
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